# Claims And Evidence Map

The release is organized around possibilities that have acquired an executable
exposure path.

| Earned possibility | Current evidence | Primary artifacts | What it opens |
|---|---|---|---|
| Structured phase, timing, and architecture information can improve execution quality at fixed incident energy. | Fixed-wave pilot and separate frozen confirmatory phase; 63.6% coherent-crosstalk reduction with destructive scramble, shuffle, and wrong-model controls. | `gu/reports/final/FIXED_WAVE_FUNCTION_PHASE0_PILOT_REPORT.md`; `gu/reports/final/FIXED_WAVE_FUNCTION_PHASE1_CONFIRMATORY_REPORT.md` | Physical tests of structured excitation under matched source and resource conditions. |
| Coordination order can identify useful control structure and transfer between model contexts. | Frozen 5/5 coordination-order challenge and FHN temporal-order transfer with 9/9 nuisance persistence. | `gu/reports/final/COORDINATION_ORDER_CHALLENGE_PHASE0_REPORT.md`; `gu/reports/final/FHN_COORDINATION_TRANSFER_PHASE1A_REPORT.md` | Prospective control selection based on interaction order rather than actuator labels alone. |
| A common intervention contrast can prospectively map positive, boundary, and adverse control regions across standard-physics model families. | Phase-0R 12/12 fresh interior positives; Phase-1 18/18 decisive held-out classifications with both positive and negative regions. | `gu/reports/final/CROSS_DOMAIN_OPPORTUNITY_MAP_PHASE0R_REPORT.md`; `gu/reports/final/CROSS_DOMAIN_OPPORTUNITY_DISCRIMINATION_PHASE1_REPORT.md` | A cross-domain regime-discovery instrument for deciding where structured control is worth testing. |
| A structural intervention representation can reduce prospective policy-search burden. | Matched 32-policy active-search pilot with lower CCT regret at every post-anchor budget; mean regret-area improvement 0.01656 with paired 95% interval 0.00175 to 0.03429 in CCT's favor. | `gu/reports/final/CCT_LIMITED_PROBE_DISCOVERY_PHASE0_REPORT.md`; `gu/scripts/active/verify_cct_limited_probe_discovery_phase0.py` | Confirmation against additional domain-native learners and a third unseen physical model family. |
| Distributed schedule architecture can write retained geometry. | 115/128 exact retained geometries; zone permutation and uniform-dose replacement reduced success to zero. | `gu/reports/final/RETAINED_GEOMETRY_OPEN_LOOP_PROGRAM_PHASE1_REPORT.md` | Retention/reset exposures in systems with spatially addressable state structure. |
| Frequency, position, and mode independence can expose a missing controllable deformation mode. | 29/32 observed S-bend successes, 81.2% median-error reduction, and complete held-out collapse when the third channel is removed. | `gu/reports/final/STEEL_FREQUENCY_POSITION_MODE_CODESIGN_PHASE0B_REPORT.md` | Architecture selection by independent physical handles rather than actuator count. |
| Multiwell resemblance is too expressive to establish specificity by itself. | Scalar constructive theorem and synthetic route companion. | `open-theorem-working-notes/op0a-scalar-1d-formal-theorem-note-2026-05-25.md`; `cct-public-replication/theorem_verifiers/verify_op0a_multiwell.py` | Specificity filters that must survive ordinary expressive constructions. |
| Measurement scaling belongs to a declared finite observer/estimator regime. | OP1 Bridge V1 proof draft, schema, and certificate fixtures. | `open-theorem-working-notes/op1-bridge-v1-regular-classical-iid-lan-proof-draft-2026-06-11.md`; `cct-public-replication/theorem_verifiers/verify_op1_bridge_v1.py` | Wider probability, dependence, nuisance, and metrology bridges. |
| Current-command influence can be bounded by a typed causal history and frozen joint interface capacity. | OP3 finite-state theorem draft and assumption-manifest verifier. | `open-theorem-working-notes/op3-finite-state-causal-conditioned-command-capacity-theorem-v1-2026-06-11.md`; `cct-public-replication/theorem_verifiers/verify_op3_theorem_assumptions.py` | Empirical attribution and richer history-conditioned information routes. |
| Programmability comparisons are front-valued across multiple material resources. | Finite/discrete Vector OP4 theorem note and Pareto/resource-front verifier. | `open-theorem-working-notes/vector-op4-finite-supported-resource-front-theorem-v1-formal-review-note-2026-06-09.md`; `cct-public-replication/estimators/vector_op4_resource_front.py` | Continuous, mixed, and engineering-linked resource fronts. |
| Passive geometry response is bounded by source, operator, resolvent, restriction, and remainder certificates. | Finite operator-norm theorem companion and Born/Helmholtz physical-instantiation route. | `open-theorem-working-notes/bt7b-passive-aperture-theorem-stub.md`; `open-theorem-working-notes/bt7b-born-helmholtz-green-function-theorem-v1-2026-07-11.md` | Wave-scattering tests across broader loss, resonance, near-field, active, and nonlinear classes. |

## Exposure Paths

Three public-safe cards carry these results toward physical work:

- `exposure-cards/measurement-regime-observer-mode.md`
- `exposure-cards/field-geometry-stable-basin.md`
- `exposure-cards/route-state-topology-retention-reset.md`

The Tau-X example in `tau-x/` demonstrates how a future earned primitive would
enter mission accounting without making the mission horizon carry the evidence
burden of the underlying experiment.
